What is Next for Donald Trump?

Trump was convicted on 34 counts of falsifying business records, a class E felony that is punishable by a fine, probation or up to four years in prison per count. During the trial, Judge Juan Merchan threatened to put Trump behind bars for violating his gag order, but it’s unclear whether the former president will face similar consequences now. It's expected that any sentence would be imposed concurrently, instead of consecutively.  It is common for like charges to have the sentences served at the same time (concurrently) instead of back to back (consecutively). 

That is potentially 136 years in jail for the former President and looking like the future President of the United States, Donald Trump.  Why do I say future president?  That is because Former President Trump's campaign said Friday that it had a $34.8 million windfall after he was convicted of 34 felonies in New York.

That is because that is what the betting odds say:

2024 Presidential Candidate, Betting Odds, and Implied Win Probability   

Donald Trump -120, 54.55%

Joe Biden +130, 43.48%

Michelle Obama +2000, 4.76%

Robert Kennedy Jr. +2500, 3.85%

Gavin Newsom +5000, 1.96%

Kamala Harris +5000, 1.96%

Odds courtesy from Sports Interaction Canada.

And the polls say - after the verdict:

Donald Trump

Republican Party

46%

Joe Biden

Democratic Party

44%

What is to come legally?

The next step for Trump at this point is his sentencing, which is set for July 11. It's unlikely Trump will be imprisoned based on his age, lack of a criminal record and other factors.  An analysis conducted by Norm Eisen, who worked for House Democrats during Trump’s first impeachment, found that roughly 1 in 10 people who have been convicted of falsifying business records are imprisoned and that those cases typically involved other crimes.

Before that an appeal is most likely.  Trump's first appeal will be to the state Appellate Division, a midlevel appeals court, and it will almost certainly not decide the appeal until after the November election. If he loses there, he could then appeal to the state's highest court, the Court of Appeals. A loss there would be followed by a request to the U.S. Supreme Court to hear the case.

If all that fails, he could then try turning to federal court in another attempt to eventually get the case before the Supreme Court. The appeals process typically takes a long time — but there's another potential complicating factor in this case.

If Trump becomes president of the United States, he cannot be incarcerated in a state prison while he's in office, because it could prevent him from fulfilling his constitutional duties. If he losses his appeals, by the time Trump leaves office, he may have to return to New York to be incarcerated, if so sentenced.

In the end it will be an interesting election and time for our country for all those involved - which should be every single Citizen of the United States.

May God Bless You, Your Business, Israel, and the United States of America, 

Tom Winslow